Forgotten amidst the dusty archives of French technical literature lies a delightful little gem written by Louis Bachelier in 1914 entitled Le Jeu, la chance et le hasard, or The Game, Luck and Randomness. Popular in pre-World War I France, Le Jeu offered the general reader of the time original insights into quantifiable patterns found in both casino games and financial markets; it was perhaps one of the first ';how to get rich quick' books. But its popularity did not survive the early 20th century upheavals in Europe and it was never translated and published into English.
The book in hand, Sketches in Quantitative Finance, is the only known English translation of Le Jeu, la chance et le hasard. It attempts to be a technically precise, word for word, translation of Bachelier's work, preserving his original tone and his refreshingly readable (albeit quirky) style of writing. While this translation's entertainment value is enhanced by the frequent nuggets of knowledge of Bachelier's mathematical perspectives, perhaps the greater pleasure to the English reader will be to experience a freshly exposed artifact of scientific philosophy.
Forgotten amidst the dusty archives of French technical literature lies a delightful little gem written by Louis Bachelier in 1914 entitled Le Jeu, la chance et le hasard, or The Game, Luck and Randomness. Popular in pre-World War I France, Le Jeu… offered the general reader of the time original insights into quantifiable patterns found in both casino games and financial markets; it was perhaps one of the first “how to get rich quick” books. But its popularity did not survive the early 20th century upheavals in Europe and it was never translated and published into English.
The book in hand, Sketches in Quantitative Finance, is the only known English translation of Le Jeu, la chance et le hasard. It attempts to be a technically precise, word for word, translation of Bachelier’s work, preserving his original tone and his refreshingly readable (albeit quirky) style of writing. While this translation’s entertainment value is enhanced by the frequent nuggets of knowledge of Bachelier’s mathematical perspectives, perhaps the greater pleasure to the English reader will be to experience a freshly exposed artifact of scientific philosophy.
Chapter I. — Randomness
Chapter II. — Probability
Chapter III. — Appreciation of Probabilities
Chapter IV. — Mathematical Expectation
Chapter V. — Moral Expectation
Chapter VI. — The General Idea of Expectation
Chapter VII. — Luck
Chapter VIII. — Mean Values
Chapter IX. — Origins of the Calculation of Probabilities
Chapter X. — Martingales and Lotteries
Chapter XI. — Classification of Probabilities
Chapter XII. — Law of Large Numbers
Chapter XIII. — Law of Bernoulli
Chapter XIV. — The Gambler’s Ruin
Chapter XV. — The Illusions of Gamblers
Chapter XVI. — New Theories of Probabilities
Chapter XVII. — Randomness and Experiments
Chapter XVIII. — Speculation
Chapter XIX. — Transactions of Speculation
Chapter XX. — Probabilities of Future Events from the Observed Events
Chapter XXI. — Errors of Observation
Chapter XXII. — Principle of the Mean
Chapter XXIII. — Curves of Frequency
Chapter XXIV. — The Shot at the Target